No. 4 Kansas tops Texas A&M

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/23/2012 - College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Elijah Johnson scored a team-high 21 points to lead No. 4 Kansas past Texas A&M, 66-58, in the final Big 12 clash between the two schools.

Tyshawn Taylor added 12 points, Jeff Withey contributed 11 and Thomas Robinson had 10 with 13 rebounds for Kansas (23-5, 13-2 Big 12), which earned its fifth straight win.

Khris Middleton netted a game-high 23 points for the Aggies (13-14, 4-11), who are leaving the Big 12 to join the Southeastern Conference next season. David Loubeau and Elston Turner each dropped in 10 points in Texas A&M's sixth loss in seven games.

Kansas held a 31-21 advantage at the break and opened the second half with a 16-5 swing to take its largest lead of the contest, 47-26, on Robinson's three-point play with 13:25 left in the game.

The Aggies, though, would not go quietly, battling back with a 30-13 run over the next 11-plus minutes to close the gap to four, 60-56, with just under two minutes remaining.

Middleton had 11 points and Dash Harris had six in the run, which Harris capped with a shot from beyond the arc.

But Texas A&M would get no closer as the Jayhawks made enough free throws down the stretch and Zach Kinsley's three-pointer that would have brought the Aggies within one with less than 30 seconds left in the game was no good.

Withey grabbed the rebound and sank both foul shots to seal the victory for Kansas.

Johnson netted the game's first five points in a 7-2 run by Kansas to take the early lead, but the Aggies responded with six straight points to take an 8-7 advantage.

The lead changed hands fives times over the next four minutes, with the last exchange starting a 12-0 spurt by the Jayhawks to give them a 25-14 lead with a little over eight minutes left in the half.

Middleton put an end to the run with a three-pointer, but Kansas outscored the Aggies by a mark of 16-4 for the remainder of the half and held a 31-21 advantage at the break.

Texas A&M shot just 29 percent from the floor through the first 20 minutes and Kansas didn't fare much better, shooting 38.7 percent while going 3-for-13 from three-point range.

Game Notes

Kansas has won the last eight meetings between the teams and holds a 19-1 lead in the all-time series, including an 18-1 mark advantage since the inception of the Big 12 in 1996-97...Harris finished the game with eight points for the Aggies...Kansas went 4-for-18 from beyond the arc, while Texas A&M connected on 6-of-18 three-pointers.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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